Iran nuclear deal: Saudi Arabia fears rival’s regional footprint
Riyadh worries that lifting sanctions on Iran means greater firepower for its proxy forces, including in Yemen where a Saudi-led bombing campaign continues. Saudi Arabia also wants its own nuclear program, for what is says are peaceful purposes.
RIYADH, SAUDI ARABIA
In
public, Saudi Arabia has offered cautious praise for last week’s
international nuclear agreement with Iran, its regional rival. King
Salman told US President Barack Obama last Thursday that he hoped that a
final deal “would aid in developing regional and international
security,” the state-run Saudi Press Agency reported.
But
even if the framework deal prevents Iran for now from building a
nuclear bomb, Saudi Arabia, a Sunni-majority state, frets that it won’t
stop Iran’s support for Shiite militant groups across the Middle East. And
that regional threat, in turn, may nudge Riyadh towards reviving its
mothballed nuclear program in order to counter Iran’s, according to
Saudi officials and analysts.
“Saudi
Arabia is all for nuclear security in the region, but is more concerned
about Iran’s growing support and funding for terrorist groups and the
interference in internal Arab affairs,” says Jasser Abdelaziz al Jasser,
political analyst and managing editor at the state-run Saudi Al Jazeera
newspaper.
RIYADH, SAUDI ARABIA
In
public, Saudi Arabia has offered cautious praise for last week’s
international nuclear agreement with Iran, its regional rival. King
Salman told US President Barack Obama last Thursday that he hoped that a
final deal “would aid in developing regional and international
security,” the state-run Saudi Press Agency reported.
But
even if the framework deal prevents Iran for now from building a
nuclear bomb, Saudi Arabia, a Sunni-majority state, frets that it won’t
stop Iran’s support for Shiite militant groups across the Middle East.
And that regional threat, in turn, may nudge Riyadh towards reviving its
mothballed nuclear program in order to counter Iran’s, according to
Saudi officials and analysts.
“Saudi
Arabia is all for nuclear security in the region, but is more concerned
about Iran’s growing support and funding for terrorist groups and the
interference in internal Arab affairs,” says Jasser Abdelaziz al Jasser,
political analyst and managing editor at the state-run Saudi Al Jazeera
newspaper.
Like
much of the Arab world, Saudi officials are anxious both to stop Iran
from developing nuclear weapons and to counter its funding and arming of
allied Shiite forces, such as Hezbollah and the Syrian regime. That
puts them broadly in the same camp as Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin
Netanyahu, who has warned repeatedly of growing Iranian influence in the
region.
Observers
and officials here say in the wake of the deal they expect to see
Saudi-led forces step up their bombing campaign in Yemen, where Riyadh
accuses Iran of backing Houthi insurgents that forced out a Saudi-backed
president.
Saudi
official sources say Riyadh will “bring all its military might” in
Yemen to push back Houthi militias, which are allied to Yemen’s former
dictator, and send Iran a direct message: deal or no deal, the time for retaliation has come.
“For
years, Iran has been crossing the red-line and has been supporting
militias and terrorist groups across the Arab world,” says a Saudi
official familiar with the military campaign. “Now in Yemen, we are
finally standing up and making a stand, and our stand will only
strengthen, not weaken after this deal.”
Ground incursion mulled in Yemen
According
to officials close to the decision-making process, Riyadh is mulling
the deployment of hundreds of Saudi Marines and Special Forces
– possibly with a role for Egyptian forces – to secure the Yemeni port
city of Aden, the interim capital of the beleaguered
pro-Saudi government.
Saudi officials
say Riyadh has accelerated its plans for a ground incursion in Yemen in
order to ratchet up pressure on Iran and score military gains long
before any sanctions are potentially lifted under the nuclear deal
between Iran and the US and five other world powers.
In
Syria, Saudi Arabia supports armed groups fighting against President
Bashar Al-Assad, whose security forces increasingly rely on those of
Iran and Hezbollah. Sources in the Free Syrian Army, one of the rebel
groups, say Saudi Arabia has in recent days more than doubled its
funding, a move aimed at helping to check Iran’s proxy forces in
southern Syria.
“Saudi
Arabia is keeping our campaign alive- they have made it clear that the
south should not be lost,” says FSA commander Assad Zoubi.
“What
Saudi Arabia and the rest of the Arab world is looking for is not an
agreement that only deals with the nuclear issue, but one that also
brings an end to Iranian interference in the Arab world which has become
the major source of instability in the region,” says Hani Wafa, analyst
and political editor at the Saudi daily Al Riyadh.
Saudi nuclear ambitions
Meanwhile, observers
and officials say Saudi Arabia, the world’s largest oil producer, is to
accelerate its own drive for nuclear energy by fast-tracking the
construction of up to 10 nuclear reactors and laying the groundwork for
potential uranium enrichment.
The
Saudi nuclear program has been dormant since 2007. Yet with Iran
receiving a potential stamp of approval by the international community,
and with the signing of a recent nuclear cooperation agreement with
South Korea, Riyadh seems determined to produce atomic energy as early
as 2021 and has refused to rule out uranium enrichment.
Saudi Arabia insists that it only wants to develop nuclear energy. Still,
fears remain that it could develop a parallel weapons program,
potentially with help from its ally Pakistan, and that Iran’s
advancement will spark a regional nuclear-arms race.
“There
is a feeling in Saudi Arabia that if Iran can produce nuclear energy
with the blessing of the international community, why not us?” Mr.
al-Jasser says.
“This
program has become an issue of national security for Saudi Arabia – in
order to compete with Iran, it, too must become a nuclear energy state.”
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