The US is starting to think that North Korea might actually have tested hydrogen-bomb components
[Business Insider]
Armin Rosen
[Business Insider]
Armin Rosen
North
Korea’s claim that it detonated a hydrogen bomb during an apparent
nuclear-weapons test on January 6 were widely dismissed by experts and
the US government as well. But it turns out that Pyongyang might have tested components from a hydrogen bomb after all.
According to CNN,
inconclusive sampling of air near the test site by US spy aircraft,
along with the unusual depth at which the test is believed to have
occurred, have led some US officials to suspect that North Korea actually did test elements of a hydrogen device.
“The test was conducted more than two times deeper underground than originally assessed
— at a depth consistent with what might be needed for a hydrogen bomb,”
CNN reports, while cautioning that “the size of the seismic event and
other intelligence indicates it was not likely a fully functioning
device.”
Seismic
information indicates that North Korea tested a weapon with a
comparable explosive yield to the nuclear device the country detonated
during its last previous test in 2013 — a 10-kiloton bomb that created a
fireball one-fifth of a mile wide. After the January 6 test,
numerous arms-control experts said it was highly unlikely that North
Korea had tested a hydrogen bomb, though possible it had tested a more
typical fission-based atomic weapon “boosted” with hydrogen isotopes for
increased yield.
Even a failed test of hydrogen-bomb components could signal an alarming shift in North Korea’s weapons capabilities.
As
Alex Wellerstein, a nuclear historian at the Steven Institute of
Technology and creator of Nuke Map, told Business Insider on January 6, a
country that’s mastered thermonuclear-weapons design suddenly has a
number of possible options open to it.
For instance, a country with a thermonuclear capability could build “a
very thin-cased bomb of low yield [in this case 1 to 10 kilotons, or
1,000 to 10,000 tons of TNT] that would emit a lot of radiation relative
to its blast power.”
The
so-called neutron bomb, or “enhanced radiation,” weapon isn’t all that
hard to develop once a country has mastered more basic hydrogen-bomb
technology.
(Reuters)
North
Korea would still face the technical hurdle of miniaturizing a hydrogen
device for delivery by ballistic missile. The US wasn’t able to
construct a functioning neutron bomb of any size or weight without
extensive testing, and North Korea may not have the testing data or
carried out the trial-and-error process needed to actually build a
functioning hydrogen device.