Iran nuclear talks: Prospect of deal with Iran pushes Saudi Arabia and Israel into an unlikely alliance
Netanyahu lines up with Saudis’ Sunni bloc against ‘expansionist’ Iran
By
Foreign
ministers from Iran, the US and five other world powers including
Britain were tonight preparing for a final 24 hours of intense
negotiations that could change the Middle East’s political landscape for
years to come.
US
officials said the talks in Lausanne over Iran’s nuclear programme,
whose deadline for a “framework” agreement is midnight tomorrow night,
would go “to the wire”.
China’s
Foreign Minister, Wang Yi, was “cautiously optimistic”. His German
counterpart Frank-Walter Steinmeier said “there had been some progress
and also some setbacks in the last hours”.
But
as officials alternately expressed optimism and gloom over the
prospects, two Middle Eastern countries were observing the apparent
progress in Lausanne with grave alarm – and are moving towards cementing
an unlikely alliance as a result.
Both Israel and Saudi Arabia have repeatedly claimed that Tehran is intent on acquiring a nuclear arsenal,
regardless of whatever pledges it makes, and that its hand will merely
be strengthened by the lifting of economic sanctions as part of an
agreement. Both see Iran with nuclear weapons as a direct threat to
their existence which must be confronted.
But
the Obama administration’s enthusiasm for the nuclear talks, plus its
arms-length co-operation with Tehran in the fight against Isis in Iraq
and Syria, has done most to bring Israel and Saudi Arabia closer. In the
run-up to Israeli elections, officials including advisers to Israeli
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu were keen to stress the strategic
advantage of their secret understanding with the Sunni bloc.
One senior security official in Tel Aviv said: “Necessity
creates alliances. The necessity for us and the Saudis in particular –
as well as the Gulf states, Bahrain, Qatar, the UAE, Jordan and Egypt –
is to be on our guard against Iran, which is an aggressive, expansionist
power. We think the nuclear deal that the Iranians may persuade the
international community to sign would make all of us vulnerable in this
region, and so co-operation makes sense.”
Benjamin
Netanyahu yesterday stressed the danger to the region that he said was
posed by the terms likely to be agreed in Lausanne by the P5+1 group of
the US, UK, France, Russia, Germany and China with Iran. The course of
the talks, said the Israeli Prime Minister has “confirmed our concerns
and proved to be even worse”. Israel
was not the only country that would be in the firing line of Iranians,
who wanted to “conquer” the whole of the Middle East, he maintained.
Mr
Netanyahu pointedly warned of an “Iran-Lausanne-Yemen axis”. Saudi
Arabia has taken the lead against that “axis”, by forming a Sunni
coalition against Iranian-backed Houthi rebels in Yemen, whom the
Kingdom’s warplanes are currently bombing.
Prince
Turki al-Faisal, a former head of Saudi intelligence and ambassador to
Washington and London, warned that a deal with Iran could lead to
nuclear proliferation. “Whatever comes out of all these talks, we will
want the same,” he said. “If Iran has the ability to enrich uranium to
whatever level, it’s not just Saudi Arabia that’s going to ask for that.
The whole world will be shown an open door to go down that route.”
Israeli
officials have claimed privately in the past that Saudi Arabia would
turn a blind eye if Israeli warplanes needed to overfly its territory to
strike at Iranian targets, although the Saudis are said to be keen
for Israel to revive the stalled negotiations over a Palestinian state.
One Western diplomat based in Brussels reportedly said: “The Saudi
authorities are completely coordinated with Israel on all matters
related to Iran.”
Two
months earlier Israel’s intelligence service, Mossad, and Saudi
officials were said to have met to share intelligence on Iran and there
were claims that Riyadh was prepared to assist proactively in any
anti-Tehran mission, facilitating the use of helicopters to rescue any
downed flight crew and air-to-air refuelling for Israeli aircraft.
Last
year, Prince Turki publicly met the former Israeli military
intelligence chief, General Amos Yadlin, in Brussels. General Amos
Gilad, the former director of the Israeli defence ministry’s policy
department, said Israel had a behind-the-scenes working relationship
with the Sunni states. “Everything
is underground,” he said. “The Arabs will never accept this publicly
but they are clever enough to promote common ground.”
Robert
Emerson, a security analyst, said: “The feeling of anger against
[Netanyahu] among Democrats in the US is very deep. Until the next
American election, Bibi can only hope that the Republicans will try to
block any deal in Congress. So for now, Israel is forced to play a
regional game in the Middle-East.”
The
Republicans may, however, have difficulty in getting the numbers needed
block the lifting of sanctions. Mr Netanyahu’s address to the US
congress was viewed as a snub to President Barack Obama, and has angered
members of the Congressional Black Caucus. James Clyburn, assistant
minority leader, described the speech as an “affront to America’s first
black president”.
Mr
Obama has pledged to veto two bills aimed at preventing the lifting of
sanctions and, without the Black Caucus, Congress may be unable to
summon the two thirds majority needed to override him.
Meanwhile
in Lausanne, differences remained over the time limits on uranium
enrichment, the lifting of economic sanctions and their re-imposition if
Tehran breaches an agreement, and the shipping of enriched uranium out
of Iran.
Philip
Hammond, the Foreign Secretary, added: “We are here because we believe a
deal can be done. But it has to be a deal which puts the bomb beyond
Iran’s reach. There can’t be any compromise about that.”
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