Is Pakistan Worth America’s Investment?
It doesn’t take much to stir controversy over America’s relationship with Pakistan. The latest dust-up involves $532 million in economic assistance that the United States expects to provide later this year. Last
week, Pakistani officials jumped the gun by suggesting the money is
closer to being disbursed than it is; the news annoyed India, which
doesn’t think the aid is merited.
That is a familiar complaint. Since
9/11, the United States has provided Pakistan with billions of dollars,
mostly in military aid, to help fight extremists. There are many
reasons to have doubts about the investment. Still, it is in
America’s interest to maintain assistance — at a declining level — at
least for the time being. But much depends on what the money will be
used for. One condition for new aid should be that Pakistan do more for
itself — by cutting back on spending for nuclear weapons and requiring
its elites to pay taxes.
Doubts
about the aid center on Pakistan’s army, which has long played a double
game, accepting America’s money while enabling some militant groups,
including members of the Afghan Taliban who have been battling American
and Afghan troops in Afghanistan. The relationship hit bottom in
2011 when Osama bin Laden was found hiding in Pakistan and was killed by
a Navy SEAL team. But it has since improved. Secretary of State John
Kerry is expected to visit Islamabad soon.
This
double game is a big reason that the administration has been unable to
fulfill Congress’s mandate to certify that Pakistan has met certain
requirements, including preventing its territory from being used for
terror attacks, as a condition of assistance. Instead, officials have
had to rely on a national security waiver to keep aid flowing.
There
is a case for doing that. After much foot-dragging, the Pakistani army
is finally battling militants in the North Waziristan region, and
American officials say there has been real progress.
Also,
Pakistan has allowed American drone attacks against militants along the
border to resume, and is cooperating with the new Afghan president,
Ashraf Ghani. Pakistan’s help is essential as Mr. Ghani pursues peace
talks with the Taliban. It also counts as progress that Pakistan
completed a transition from one civilian government to another in 2013
and that the current government, while fragile, remains in place.
American
officials say aid has allowed them to maintain some modest leverage
with Pakistan’s leaders and to invest in projects that advance both
countries’ interests, including energy, more than 600 miles of new roads
and support for democratic governance. But it makes no sense to
subsidize Pakistan’s policy failures, which include an obsession with
nuclear weapons, paltry investments in education and a refusal to
seriously combat extremism.
Pakistan
still receives more assistance than most countries, a holdover from the
days when Washington mistakenly thought it might be a real partner. But
the levels are declining and should continue to do so. Cutting aid
precipitously would be unwise, but a managed decrease is in line with
more realistic expectations about the diminished potential for bilateral
cooperation.
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