US report finds Iran threat undiminished
State Dept. says nuclear talks had little influence
By Michael R. Gordon and Eric Schmitt
NEW YORK TIMES JUNE 20, 2015
WASHINGTON — Iran continued its “terrorist-related” activity last year and also continued to provide broad military support to President Bashar Assad of Syria, the State Department said Friday in its annual report on terrorism.
The State Department’s assessment suggests that neither the election of President Hassan Rouhani nor the prospect of a nuclear accord with the United States and its negotiating partners has had a moderating effect on Iran’s foreign policy in the Middle East.
“In 2014, Iran continued to provide arms, financing, training, and the facilitation of primary Iraq Shia and Afghan fighters to support the Assad regime’s brutal crackdown,” the report said.
“Iran remained unwilling to bring to justice senior Al Qaeda members it continued to detain and refused to publicly identify those senior members in its custody,” it added.
The report does not contend that Iranian officials are conspiring to kill Americans. Nor does it accuse Iraqi militias backed by Iran of plotting to attack US advisers in Iraq. The report also does not provide specific figures on Iranian operations, which might indicate whether they are increasing or decreasing.
But it paints a picture of an aggressive Iranian foreign policy that has often been contrary to the interests of the United States.
Even when the United States and Iran share a common foe, as they do in the Islamic State, the Iranian role in Iraq risks inflaming sectarian tensions. Some of the Shia militias Iran has backed in Iraq, including Kataib Hezbollah, have committed human rights abuses against Sunni civilians, the report said.
Although the report covers 2014, US officials said that the Iranian policies described in the report have continued this year.
“We continue to be very, very concerned about IRGC activity as well as proxies that act on behalf of Iran,” said Tina S. Kaidanow, the State Department’s senior counterterrorism official, using the acronym for Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps. “We watch that extremely carefully.”
Iran’s Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, has suggested that Iran sees its regional and nuclear policies as proceeding on separate tracks, an approach that may be intended to placate hard-liners at home but that may also reflect his own foreign policy strategy.
The White House has held out hope that a deal to limit Iran’s nuclear program might be the first step toward an eventual easing of tensions and perhaps even cooperation on regional matters. But even if the two sides remain at odds over the Middle East, Obama administration officials insist a nuclear accord is worth pursuing in its own right. The report comes a week before Secretary of State John Kerry is expected to travel to Vienna to try to seal a nuclear accord.
In a broad survey of terrorist trends, including a country-by-country assessment, the report notes that the threat from the Qaeda leadership that has sought sanctuary in Pakistan has diminished even as the group continues to inspire militants elsewhere.
Meanwhile, the threat from the Islamic State, the militant group that has established a self-styled caliphate in much of Iraq and Syria, has grown.
The report said that as of December, the Islamic State, also known as ISIL, could muster between 20,000 and 31,500 fighters. The group derives most of its funding not from external donations, but from smuggling oil, kidnapping for ransom, robbing banks, and selling stolen antiquities.
The number of foreign fighters who have traveled to Syria — more than 16,000 as of late December and thousands more since — is greater than the number of foreign militants who have gone to Afghanistan, Pakistan, Yemen, or Somalia at any point in the last 20 years, the report said.
“The ongoing civil war in Syria was a significant factor in driving worldwide terrorism events in 2014,” the report states.
The report also noted that the Islamic State has deftly used the news media and social media to influence a wide spectrum of potential audiences: local Sunni Arab populations, potential recruits, and governments of coalition members and other populations around the world, including English-speaking audiences.
“ISIL has been adroit at using the most popular social and new media platforms (YouTube, Facebook, and Twitter) to disseminate its messages broadly,” the report concluded.
US counterterrorism officials have voiced increasing concern that the Islamic State as well as Al Qaeda and its affiliates are inspiring, but not necessarily directing, a greater number of so-called “lone wolf attacks” — like the terrorist attacks in Ottawa and Sydney last year.
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