INU - The US withdrawal from Iran nuclear deal has been well received in many capitals. The signatories of the Iran nuclear deal do not live in the region, so the positive reception to the US withdrawal by countries in the Middle East is not surprising. Their perception of Tehran is that it is most immediate security threat to the stability of the region.
The consensus in the region if that the regime should under no circumstances possess or acquire material required for the production of nuclear weapons. Countries in the Middle East very concerned over the prospect of the regime building a nuclear arsenal.
The regime’s destabilizing behavior affects global order more at this time than at any other point since 1979, especially regarding rights of navigation and ballistic missile proliferation.
Tehran now threatens the rights of navigation in Bab Al Mandeb and Hormuz. Not only do the nations of the GCC use these channels, but the rest of the world’s commercial fleets do as well. US-led coalition ships have been targeted in Yemen. Bab Al Mandeb links the Mediterranean and The Red Sea to The Arabian Ocean, the Bay of Bengal, and the Malacca Straits transit which stretches to Indonesia, Australia, Asia and the Western Pacific.
Another concern is Iran’s ballistic missile program. In fact, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia was never targeted by ballistic missiles from Yemen before Iran became involved in the country. It has been proven that missiles used by Houthis were smuggled as disassembled parts into Yemen, where operatives of the IRGC then reassembled and fired them into The Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
The way forward, should Tehran continue with its current behavior in Yemen, Lebanon, Syria, and Iraq should predicate any trade or commercial activities by multinational corporations with the regime, on an end to missiles proliferation, and Iran’s behavior in Iraq, the in Damascus, and the in Lebanon.
Casual indifference to Iran’s behavior will not last. There must be immediate suspension of all nuclear related activities, which must be verified by inspection teams, and a complete cessation of all ballistic missile proliferation. As well, the removal of all sectarian and proxy assets from Yemen, Lebanon, Syria, and Iraq, the severing of all ties to terrorist groups is necessary.
The people of Iran continue protesting against the clerical regime, and deserve to live as free people.